Al Sadd 1-0 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 21 Oct 2024

Al Sadd
1-0 HT 1-0
Persepolis
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2024/2025

Al Sadd vs Persepolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
18%
4.3
X/2
8%
8.05
X/X
14%
4.64
2/1
5%
24.85
2/2
15%
6.11
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Sadd v Persepolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.69/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.80
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.7 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.9

Al Sadd vs Persepolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Persepolis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2020 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP
20.05.2019 Persepolis Persepolis 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP
12.03.2019 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis AŞMP
23.10.2018 Persepolis Persepolis 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP
02.10.2018 Al Sadd Al Sadd 0-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis AŞMP
16.04.2018 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP

Al Sadd 1-0 Persepolis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
1-0
AWAY Persepolis
0.47 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
315 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd squeezed past Persepolis 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Sadd had 49% of the ball to Persepolis's 51%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 0.47 to 1.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Persepolis.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Sadd and 1.00 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Persepolis?

Al Sadd 1-0 Persepolis in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 45%, draw 27%, Persepolis 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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