Al Ain 4-5 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.05
2-3 Goals
36%
2.2
4-5 Goals
32%
2.46
6+ Goals
12%
4.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
8.56
1/2
7%
18.25
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
8%
13.4
X/2
16%
4.0
X/X
10%
8.03
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.72
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-14.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 69%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.09/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.04
+150% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +16%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
6.4 Crosses 17.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 2.09
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
236 Passes 395
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain AŞMP
17.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 4-2 HT 3-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
06.05.2019 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain AŞMP
05.03.2019 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
02.04.2018 Al Ain Al Ain 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
13.02.2018 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
4-5
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
3.23 xG 2.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
339 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 31
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Ain 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Ain had 56% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 44%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 3.23 to 2.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Ain.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ain and 1.33 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ain 4-5 Al Hilal Riyadh in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 27%, draw 23%, Al Hilal Riyadh 50%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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