Al Najma 1-3 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.5pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.24/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.54
+21% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +74%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Riffa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
08.03.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 3-3 HT 2-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
23.09.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
14.03.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
22.12.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
09.04.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa got the better of Al Najma 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Al Riffa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Najma and 2.50 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Riffa?

Al Najma 1-3 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 27%, draw 33%, Al Riffa 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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