Al Shabab Manama 1-2 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
7%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 32% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
0.84/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.10
-21% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
228 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Muharraq
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
22.09.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
15.04.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
18.03.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
28.10.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
09.04.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-5 HT 0-3 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1-2
AWAY Muharraq
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq edged past Al Shabab Manama 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 37% of the ball to Muharraq's 63%, shots finished 4-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 2.67 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq?

Al Shabab Manama 1-2 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 29%, draw 26%, Muharraq 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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