Khalidiya 3-2 Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.1pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.6pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Manama EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.62/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.41
+51% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +44%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Manama
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Manama Manama 0-5 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
18.04.2024 Manama Manama 0-4 HT 0-2 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
30.10.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
27.03.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 2-1 Manama Manama BAHK
24.02.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-1 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
24.02.2023 Manama Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
3-2
AWAY Manama
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya nicked a narrow win over Manama 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Khalidiya had 60% of the ball to Manama's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Khalidiya and 0.67 for Manama.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Manama?

Khalidiya 3-2 Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 49%, draw 31%, Manama 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
4 Mar 2025
21:30 Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq Analysis →
21:30 Al Najma vs Al Riffa Analysis →