Independiente 0-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.71
6+ Goals
10%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Guabira
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.46 xG 0.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
428 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira CON CSA
22.04.2021 Guabira Guabira 1-3 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
0-0
AWAY Guabira
1.01 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
211 Passes 248
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and Guabira fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Independiente had 47% of the ball to Guabira's 53%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.01 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente and 0.50 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Guabira?

Independiente 0-0 Guabira in the Copa Sudamericana on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Independiente 48%, draw 27%, Guabira 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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