Cobresal 1-1 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 23% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
41%
+7.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
338 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-2 HT 0-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
17.05.2025 Cobresal Cobresal 0-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
25.09.2024 Cobresal Cobresal 0-1 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.04.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-1 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
12.11.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 3-4 HT 1-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
30.04.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
1-1
AWAY Audax Italiano
2.00 xG 0.74
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
344 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal and Audax Italiano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cobresal at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cobresal had 55% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 45%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.00 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cobresal and 1.33 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Audax Italiano?

Cobresal 1-1 Audax Italiano in the Copa Sudamericana on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 49%, draw 24%, Audax Italiano 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cobresal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cobresal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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