Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Atletico v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
3-2
HT 2-1
Alianza Atletico
PER
Alianza Atletico 2-0 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico got the better of Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Alianza Atletico had 35% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 65%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.87 to 0.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alianza Atletico and 0.83 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Alianza Atletico 2-0 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Copa Sudamericana on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 44%, draw 32%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.