Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Garcilaso v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
3-2
HT 2-1
Alianza Atletico
PER
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-4 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico beat Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Garcilaso at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 58% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 42%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.48 to 1.75.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.80 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico?
Deportivo Garcilaso 2-4 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 54%, draw 25%, Alianza Atletico 21%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.