Torque vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torque v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
Torque vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Torque
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
Torque 1-0 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Torque edged past Defensor Sporting 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Torque found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Torque had 43% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.39 to 0.31.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Torque and 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.
What was the final score of Torque vs Defensor Sporting?
Torque 1-0 Defensor Sporting in the Copa Sudamericana on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torque vs Defensor Sporting?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torque 40%, draw 26%, Defensor Sporting 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.