Zurrieq 1-2 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 4 Mar 2026

Zurrieq
1-2 HT 0-1
Naxxar Lions
📅04/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Malta - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Zurrieq vs Naxxar Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zurrieq v Naxxar Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zurrieq EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 59%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.75/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.17
+34% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / +11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Zurrieq vs Naxxar Lions Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zurrieq
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
The Meetings
06.02.2025 Zurrieq Zurrieq 0-4 HT 0-3 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK

Zurrieq 1-2 Naxxar Lions — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zurrieq
1-2
AWAY Naxxar Lions
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zurrieq vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions nicked a narrow win over Zurrieq 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Naxxar Lions as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zurrieq had 29% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 71%, shots finished 5-25.

What was the final score of Zurrieq vs Naxxar Lions?

Zurrieq 1-2 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - FA Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zurrieq vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zurrieq 31%, draw 22%, Naxxar Lions 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxxar Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naxxar Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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