Valletta vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valletta v Hamrun Spartans — Team-Based Signals
Valletta vs Hamrun Spartans Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
1-2
HT 1-0
Hamrun Spartans
MLTAK
Valletta 3-1 Hamrun Spartans — Actual Match Statistics
Valletta beat Hamrun Spartans 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valletta had 42% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 58%, shots finished 7-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valletta and 1.17 for Hamrun Spartans.
What was the final score of Valletta vs Hamrun Spartans?
Valletta 3-1 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - FA Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valletta vs Hamrun Spartans?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Valletta 33%, draw 27%, Hamrun Spartans 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.