Birkirkara 2-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +67% / +67%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2026 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-3 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MALTP
03.10.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 0-2 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
23.02.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MALTP
23.08.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
2-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara edged past Zabbar St. Patrick 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Birkirkara had 39% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 61%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Birkirkara and 0.75 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Birkirkara 2-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - FA Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 43%, draw 24%, Zabbar St. Patrick 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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