Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı 1-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
65%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
6%
+10.1pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.7pp
65%
Away Win
81%
-15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 85%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -27%
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
198 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı
1-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı edged past Kocaelispor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Kocaelispor carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı had 39% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 61%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı vs Kocaelispor?

Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı 1-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı 16%, draw 19%, Kocaelispor 65%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kocaelispor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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