Beşiktaş 4-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.45
6+ Goals
10%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.65/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/3.69
-25% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -44%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.79 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
355 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
25.05.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-2 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
03.01.2025 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
03.05.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
09.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-4 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
09.01.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
4-1
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş ran out comfortable winners over Çaykur Rizespor 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 62% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 38%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.17 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Beşiktaş 4-1 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 62%, draw 22%, Çaykur Rizespor 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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