Gaziantep FK 0-4 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
54%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
54%
Away Win
49%
+4.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.6pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 54%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.73
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +78%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.73 xG 2.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
274 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-4 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
26.04.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-3 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
27.02.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-4 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
02.12.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
07.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-2 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
14.01.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
0-4
AWAY Fenerbahçe
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe ran out comfortable winners over Gaziantep FK 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 40% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 60%, shots finished 5-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.83 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Gaziantep FK 0-4 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 26%, draw 20%, Fenerbahçe 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
4 Mar 2026
14:30 Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü Analysis →
20:30 Beşiktaş vs Çaykur Rizespor Analysis →
20:30 Beyoğlu Y.Çarşı vs Kocaelispor Analysis →