Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Apr 2025

Blackburn Rovers
0-2 HT 0-2
Middlesbrough
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.21
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.4
X/1
17%
6.08
X/2
15%
5.42
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
11%
3.53
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 13.4 — our 10% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.29/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.05
+9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.5 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
319 Passes 393
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.01.2025 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers FAK
27.11.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
16.03.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
16.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
29.12.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
15.10.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 1-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL

Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
0-2
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.47 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
372 Passes 343
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough saw off Blackburn Rovers 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Middlesbrough found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 53% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 47%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.47 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 0.67 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 40%, draw 28%, Middlesbrough 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Blackburn Rovers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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