Atletico Madrid II 4-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.28
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
31.03.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-1 HT 0-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
01.10.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
4-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II ran out comfortable winners over Intercity Alicante 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 57% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 43%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 0.67 for Intercity Alicante.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Intercity Alicante?

Atletico Madrid II 4-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 49%, draw 26%, Intercity Alicante 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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