Reggiana 1-2 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.74
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
7%
7.13
X/2
11%
4.74
X/X
10%
3.92
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
28%
3.05
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.14/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.01
+26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
14.6 Crosses 20.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 1.82
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
267 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 0-2 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
10.02.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
16.09.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 2-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
13.03.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 3-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
29.11.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
25.10.2015 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-2
AWAY Cremonese
1.66 xG 1.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
227 Passes 483
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese nicked a narrow win over Reggiana 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 37% of the ball to Cremonese's 63%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.66 to 1.19 — on chances, Reggiana could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Reggiana and 1.17 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Cremonese?

Reggiana 1-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 26%, draw 28%, Cremonese 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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