Hertha Zehlendorf 3-3 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.1pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Zehlendorf EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 49%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
3.00/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.57
+124% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Zehlendorf
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Zehlendorf Hertha Zehlendorf ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hertha Zehlendorf vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Zehlendorf and Rot-Weiss Erfurt shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Erfurt at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Hertha Zehlendorf vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Hertha Zehlendorf 3-3 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Zehlendorf vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hertha Zehlendorf 28%, draw 27%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 45%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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