04/04/2025
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-2
Paderborn 07 II vs Uerdingen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
18%
Draw
24%
33%
Away Win
24%
40%
Under 2.5
41%
60%
Over 2.5
59%
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
46%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paderborn 07 II v Uerdingen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Paderborn 07 II
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Uerdingen
EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% /
-23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+7%
1.78/1.15
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.84/1.02
-9%
/
-7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-34%
/
+63%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
329 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
Paderborn 07 II vs Uerdingen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Paderborn 07 II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Uerdingen
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Paderborn 07 II vs Uerdingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Paderborn 07 II got the better of Uerdingen 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Paderborn 07 II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Uerdingen?
Paderborn 07 II 3-1 Uerdingen in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Uerdingen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 50%, draw 18%, Uerdingen 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn 07 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
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4 Apr 2025