Buchbach 2-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.68/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.47
+16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.81 xG 2.26
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
232 Passes 462
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-3 HT 2-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
03.05.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
24.04.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
10.03.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
23.08.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 4-4 HT 1-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
27.04.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach edged past Bayern München II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Buchbach found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Buchbach and 1.83 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Bayern München II?

Buchbach 2-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 35%, draw 28%, Bayern München II 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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