Bayern München II 2-3 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2024

Bayern München II
2-3 HT 2-1
Buchbach
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Bayern München II vs Buchbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.61
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.6
No
58%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.6pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München II v Buchbach — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
2.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.06
+45% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.5 Crosses 9.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.9

Bayern München II vs Buchbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Buchbach
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.17 xG 0.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
467 Passes 222
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
24.04.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
10.03.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
23.08.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 4-4 HT 1-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
27.04.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
17.09.2021 Buchbach Buchbach 2-2 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach squeezed past Bayern München II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Bayern München II carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bayern München II and 1.17 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Buchbach?

Bayern München II 2-3 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 55%, draw 19%, Buchbach 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayern München II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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