Schwaben Augsburg 0-1 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2024

Schwaben Augsburg
0-1 HT 0-1
Illertissen
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
51%
Away Win
51%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schwaben Augsburg v Illertissen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 56%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
3.51/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.59
+150% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +100%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen squeezed past Schwaben Augsburg 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen?

Schwaben Augsburg 0-1 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 24%, draw 25%, Illertissen 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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