Bayreuth 4-0 Türkgücü München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.2pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.28/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.22
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Türkgücü München
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 3-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
08.10.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Türkgücü München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth ran out comfortable winners over Türkgücü München 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayreuth and 0.50 for Türkgücü München.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Türkgücü München?

Bayreuth 4-0 Türkgücü München in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Türkgücü München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 56%, draw 25%, Türkgücü München 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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