Kickers Emden 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
3.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.42
+67% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Emden
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
25.02.2023 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 1-4 HT 0-2 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-0 HT 0-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Emden vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel nicked a narrow win over Kickers Emden 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kickers Emden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kickers Emden and 3.00 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of Kickers Emden vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Kickers Emden 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Emden vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kickers Emden 45%, draw 20%, Drochtersen / Assel 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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