VfB Oldenburg 5-1 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.8pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.49/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.99
-16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-0 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
18.02.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-2 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
24.04.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
07.12.2019 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-1 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
09.02.2014 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg swept aside Weiche Flensburg 5-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VfB Oldenburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.33 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg?

VfB Oldenburg 5-1 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 48%, draw 27%, Weiche Flensburg 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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