Cerro Largo 0-0 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 4 Apr 2025

Cerro Largo
0-0 HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Copa Sudamericana – 2025

Cerro Largo vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.68
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.17
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
8%
6.49
X/2
16%
4.91
X/X
14%
3.85
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.35
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro Largo v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
0.94/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.44
+36% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.8 Crosses 7.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cerro Largo 0-0 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
0-0
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.79 xG 0.79
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
155 Passes 392
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo and Defensa y Justicia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Defensa y Justicia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 35% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 65%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.79 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Defensa y Justicia?

Cerro Largo 0-0 Defensa y Justicia in the Copa Sudamericana on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 28%, draw 28%, Defensa y Justicia 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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