Paris FC 2-0 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 23% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.71
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
17.65
X/1
17%
3.92
X/2
5%
14.75
X/X
16%
6.47
2/1
6%
22.45
2/2
10%
12.55
2/X
5%
20.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.61/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.17
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.7 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Clermont
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.73 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 418
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2024 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
20.04.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
19.12.2020 Clermont Clermont 3-2 HT 2-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
21.02.2020 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
20.09.2019 Paris FC Paris FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Clermont Clermont FR2
26.04.2019 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
2-0
AWAY Clermont
1.44 xG 0.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
617 Passes 277
92% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC beat Clermont 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paris FC had 67% of the ball to Clermont's 33%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.44 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paris FC and 1.17 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Clermont?

Paris FC 2-0 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 56%, draw 25%, Clermont 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✓ BTTS No
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