Ajaccio 2-1 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.17
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.68
X/2
10%
7.01
X/X
13%
3.61
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
15%
5.9
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.19/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.36
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.6 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-1 HT 2-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
24.02.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
26.09.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
19.01.2022 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
31.07.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 3-1 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
24.04.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-2 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
2-1
AWAY Amiens SC
1.63 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
303 Passes 229
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio squeezed past Amiens SC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajaccio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajaccio had 56% of the ball to Amiens SC's 44%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.63 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajaccio and 1.00 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Amiens SC?

Ajaccio 2-1 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 41%, draw 28%, Amiens SC 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajaccio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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