Stade Lavallois 1-2 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.08
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.97
X/2
12%
7.13
X/X
11%
4.11
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.41
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.4pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.21/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.27
-17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.8 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Grenoble
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.03.2024 Grenoble Grenoble 0-2 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
02.12.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
08.04.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
08.10.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 3-2 HT 3-2 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
18.03.2011 Grenoble Grenoble 1-2 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
1-2
AWAY Grenoble
1.13 xG 1.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
416 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble nicked a narrow win over Stade Lavallois 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Lavallois at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 55% of the ball to Grenoble's 45%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.13 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.33 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Grenoble?

Stade Lavallois 1-2 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 47%, draw 24%, Grenoble 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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