Annecy 1-1 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.4
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
12%
6.7
X/2
14%
4.85
X/X
15%
3.78
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.28
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.27/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.21
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.8 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bastia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.84 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
244 Passes 294
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Bastia Bastia 2-2 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
27.04.2024 Annecy Annecy 3-2 HT 3-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
07.10.2023 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
15.04.2023 Bastia Bastia 3-0 HT 3-0 Annecy Annecy FR2
01.10.2022 Annecy Annecy 0-2 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
30.04.2021 Bastia Bastia 0-1 HT 0-0 Annecy Annecy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
1-1
AWAY Bastia
0.65 xG 0.62
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 13
186 Passes 361
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy and Bastia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Annecy had 37% of the ball to Bastia's 63%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Annecy and 1.83 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Bastia?

Annecy 1-1 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Annecy 33%, draw 29%, Bastia 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bastia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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