Stenhousemuir 3-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
2.18/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.76
+29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamilton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
03.03.2026 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
06.12.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
27.09.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
29.07.2017 Hamilton Hamilton 3-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
06.04.2004 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
10.02.2004 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir cruised past Hamilton 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.17 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Hamilton?

Stenhousemuir 3-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 43%, draw 28%, Hamilton 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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