Kelty Hearts 1-1 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
58%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 24% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
22%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
58%
Away Win
54%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 57%
-14% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.62/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.24
-45% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Queen Of The South
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
10.01.2026 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 3-1 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
15.11.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
30.08.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.04.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-3 HT 1-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
01.03.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-1 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
21.12.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts and Queen Of The South couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Queen Of The South carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.50 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Queen Of The South?

Kelty Hearts 1-1 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 17%, draw 25%, Queen Of The South 58%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queen Of The South) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✓ BTTS Yes
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