Queen Of The South 3-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
59%
+3.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
2.02/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.61
+9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
5 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.11.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
30.08.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.04.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-3 HT 1-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
01.03.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-1 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
21.12.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
05.10.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-5 HT 0-3 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South got the better of Kelty Hearts 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Queen Of The South as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queen Of The South and 1.83 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts?

Queen Of The South 3-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 63%, draw 19%, Kelty Hearts 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queen Of The South), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
10 Jan 2026
18:00 Stenhousemuir vs East Fife Analysis →
18:00 Cove Rangers vs Inverness CT Analysis →