Kelty Hearts 1-3 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
7%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 52%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
0.81/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.54
-31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +82%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Queen Of The South
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
6 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2025 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-1 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
21.12.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
05.10.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-5 HT 0-3 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
06.04.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
10.02.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
18.11.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-3 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South got the better of Kelty Hearts 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Queen Of The South as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kelty Hearts and 0.50 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Queen Of The South?

Kelty Hearts 1-3 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 26%, draw 33%, Queen Of The South 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queen Of The South) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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