Annan Athletic 5-1 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.23/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.28
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Arbroath
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
1 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 3-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
21.12.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 0-4 HT 0-3 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
21.09.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 2-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
20.07.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 0-3 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKLK
08.09.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 3-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKCK
01.04.2017 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-5 HT 2-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic cruised past Arbroath 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Arbroath at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Annan Athletic and 2.83 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Arbroath?

Annan Athletic 5-1 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 31%, draw 25%, Arbroath 44%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arbroath), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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