Montrose 2-2 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
40%
Away Win
28%
+11.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.82/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.86
+21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
0 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.02.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-3 HT 2-2 Montrose Montrose İK1
21.12.2024 Montrose Montrose 1-2 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
21.09.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
26.03.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.02.2022 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
11.12.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-3 HT 1-2 Montrose Montrose İK1
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose and Dumbarton couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montrose and 1.00 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Dumbarton?

Montrose 2-2 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montrose 37%, draw 23%, Dumbarton 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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