Dumbarton vs Montrose Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dumbarton v Montrose — Team-Based Signals
Dumbarton vs Montrose Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Montrose
İK1
1-1
HT 1-1
Dumbarton
İK1
1-3
HT 1-2
Montrose
İK1
1-2
HT 0-2
Dumbarton
İK1
Montrose edged past Dumbarton 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Montrose made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dumbarton and 1.17 for Montrose.
What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Montrose?
Dumbarton 2-3 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Montrose?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 39%, draw 27%, Montrose 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.