Queen Of The South 0-3 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.67/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.42
+9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 1.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arbroath
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
07.12.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
14.09.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
14.10.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCK
16.04.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 5-1 HT 2-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
19.02.2022 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
13.11.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath cruised past Queen Of The South 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Arbroath made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Queen Of The South and 1.83 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Arbroath?

Queen Of The South 0-3 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 40%, draw 29%, Arbroath 32%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✗ Under 2.5
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