Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
21%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.8
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.7
6+
5%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.59
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
19%
4.43
X/2
8%
7.81
X/X
17%
4.42
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.21
2/X
5%
14.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Dunfermline Athletic The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Greenock Morton The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
0.93 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
40 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
38 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
17.02.2026 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
22.11.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
02.08.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
01.03.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
21.12.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
19.10.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
REVIEW Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dunfermline Athletic got the better of Greenock Morton 3-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Dunfermline Athletic against 0.83 for Greenock Morton.

Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton Result & Final Score

Dunfermline Athletic 3 - 1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 52%, draw 27%, Greenock Morton 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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