Arbroath 2-4 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 4 Apr 2026

Arbroath
2 - 4 HT 1 - 1
St. Johnstone
📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Arbroath vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.43
Draw
25%
3.54
Away Pick
57%
1.7
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.97
No
53%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.77
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.74
6+
4%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.1
1/2
4%
25.0
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
7%
9.53
X/2
19%
4.06
X/X
16%
4.64
2/1
1%
34.0
2/2
34%
2.2
2/X
5%
14.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Arbroath v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Arbroath The Market 23%
Signal
AWAY St. Johnstone The Market 59%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.96 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.89
1.65 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
235 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arbroath vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 5
The Meetings
03.01.2026 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
18.10.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 3-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
23.08.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
15.08.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
26.08.2009 Arbroath Arbroath 0-6 HT 0-4 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
08.03.2003 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
REVIEW Arbroath vs St. Johnstone
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

St. Johnstone had too much for Arbroath 4-2 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

True to our pre-match read, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Arbroath against 2.50 for St. Johnstone.

Arbroath vs St. Johnstone Result & Final Score

Arbroath 2 - 4 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Championship on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Arbroath vs St. Johnstone Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 18%, draw 25%, St. Johnstone 57%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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