Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.8
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
20%
4.42
X/2
8%
7.09
X/X
14%
3.83
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
11%
6.0
2/X
10%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.55/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.55
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 68%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
38.0 Crosses 8.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
8 Corners 4
21.12.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
19.10.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
23.03.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
03.02.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-5 HT 0-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
03.11.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-2 HT 0-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
23.09.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-1 HT 2-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dunfermline Athletic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton?

Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 46%, draw 29%, Greenock Morton 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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