Hamilton 2-2 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
14%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.59
1/2
7%
22.1
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
7%
11.5
X/2
19%
3.93
X/X
14%
5.73
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.9
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.84/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.23
-12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -43%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 4.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Falkirk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
21.12.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
18.10.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 0-3 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
17.02.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 3-2 HT 3-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
16.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 1-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
07.10.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
17.07.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton and Falkirk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hamilton and 1.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Falkirk?

Hamilton 2-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 22%, draw 28%, Falkirk 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Falkirk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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