Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Salt Lake v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals
Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
2-2
HT 2-0
Real Salt Lake
ABD
Real Salt Lake 3-1 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake beat Sporting Kansas City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Real Salt Lake had 49% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 51%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.55 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.67 for Sporting Kansas City.
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
Real Salt Lake 3-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 66%, draw 21%, Sporting Kansas City 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.