New England Revolution 3-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.56
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
19%
4.64
X/2
12%
7.7
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1
7%
22.65
2/2
11%
5.56
2/X
5%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.41/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.63
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
24.2 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CF Montreal
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 0.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
444 Passes 363
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-3 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
01.06.2025 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-3 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
19.09.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-2 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
25.08.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-5 HT 0-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
27.08.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
09.04.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 4-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
3-0
AWAY CF Montreal
2.00 xG 1.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
216 Passes 443
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution cruised past CF Montreal 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had New England Revolution as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, New England Revolution had 35% of the ball to CF Montreal's 65%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 2.00 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for New England Revolution and 1.00 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs CF Montreal?

New England Revolution 3-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 49%, draw 22%, CF Montreal 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
4 Apr 2026
20:00 Toronto FC vs Colorado Rapids Analysis →
23:30 Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →