Sporting Kansas City 3-4 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.50/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.88
+17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.4 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
08.10.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
13.07.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-2 HT 2-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
18.07.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
27.03.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
28.11.2021 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
3-4
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.76 xG 2.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
27 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
13 Corners 0
394 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
46 Box Touches 27
36 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake squeezed past Sporting Kansas City 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Salt Lake found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 57% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 43%, shots finished 27-14, expected goals 2.76 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.67 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Sporting Kansas City 3-4 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 40%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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