Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Jun 2025

Sporting Kansas City
1-1 HT 0-1
Real Salt Lake
📅29/06/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
15%
6.23
X/X
11%
5.31
2/1
8%
24.65
2/2
13%
3.81
2/X
5%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v Real Salt Lake — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.45/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.49
+17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.4 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.06.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-4 HT 1-2 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
05.05.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
08.10.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
13.07.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-2 HT 2-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
18.07.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
27.03.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD

Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Real Salt Lake — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
1-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
0.70 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
285 Passes 363
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 45% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 55%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 0.70 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 2.00 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 40%, draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Kansas City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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