DC United 0-1 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 54%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.01/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.28
-19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.5 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
03.10.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-4 HT 2-1 DC United DC United ABD
14.07.2024 DC United DC United 2-1 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
02.07.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
14.05.2023 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
26.06.2022 DC United DC United 1-3 HT 0-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
0-1
AWAY Nashville SC
0.40 xG 1.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
314 Passes 518
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH DC United vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC squeezed past DC United 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, DC United had 41% of the ball to Nashville SC's 59%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.40 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for DC United and 1.67 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of DC United vs Nashville SC?

DC United 0-1 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split DC United 30%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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