CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 34% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.25/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.24
+0% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
18.9 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY New York City FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
396 Passes 413
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 New York City FC New York City FC 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
20.10.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
04.07.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
31.08.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
02.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
23.10.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-3 HT 0-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-0
AWAY New York City FC
1.19 xG 0.71
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
200 Passes 506
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal edged past New York City FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CF Montreal as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CF Montreal had 33% of the ball to New York City FC's 67%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.19 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CF Montreal and 1.33 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs New York City FC?

CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 41%, draw 26%, New York City FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Montreal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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