CF Montreal vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CF Montreal v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
CF Montreal vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
CF Montreal
ABD
0-1
HT 0-1
New York City FC
ABD
1-3
HT 0-2
New York City FC
ABD
CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
CF Montreal edged past New York City FC 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CF Montreal as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, CF Montreal had 33% of the ball to New York City FC's 67%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.19 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CF Montreal and 1.33 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs New York City FC?
CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 41%, draw 26%, New York City FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Montreal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.