CF Montreal vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
CF Montreal v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
CF Montreal vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
CF Montreal edged past New York City FC 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; CF Montreal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, CF Montreal had 33% of the ball to New York City FC's 67%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.19 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CF Montreal and 1.33 for New York City FC.
CF Montreal vs New York City FC Result & Final Score
CF Montreal 1 - 0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CF Montreal vs New York City FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 37%, draw 27%, New York City FC 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Montreal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.